2019 Week 5 NFL Picks
Yikes. What an ugly week of picks by our guys. Our current pick leader, Brandon Reid, had arguably his worst pick-week ever in the four-plus years he has been with MFST earning a 5-10 record last week–Dan did not do much better with a 7-8, Week 4. Will the guys rebound in Week 5?
Standings after Week 4
Brandon Reid: 37-25-1
Dan Schalk: 34-28-1
Rams at Seahawks
Dan Schalk: Los Angeles Rams. I want to pick the Seahawks here, but I have a feeling Sean McVay is going to go old school in this game and give Todd Gurley 30+ touches and that will control the clock and help the team pull out the victory in a low-scoring Thursday night matchup.
Brandon Reid: Seattle Seahawks. The Rams have just been off lately. And so has Todd Gurley. Losing in a shootout to the Bucs is not the Rams I knew from the last couple of years. Their defense should be better than that. I think Seattle’s 12th man and Russell’s magic will be enough to spark a Thursday Night win.
Jets at Eagles
Dan Schalk: Philadelphia Eagles. Good luck to the Jets, who will need it even if Sam Darnold returns to the lineup.
Brandon Reid: Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles need to find their identity quick if they’re going to live up to this season’s expectations. But the Jets are just not a good football team. This is a two touchdown spread.
Jaguars at Panthers
Dan Schalk: Jacksonville Jaguars. Just give the ball to Leonard Fournette and let him do work. All this talk of Minshew-mania is leaving Fournette in the shadows. Shameful because he is the real reason why Jacksonville has won this season.
Brandon Reid: Jacksonville Jaguars. I do not trust Kyle Allen against this Jags defense. You see what they did to Mariota a couple weeks ago. I think Vegas is trying to fleece us on this one. The line is 3.5 for Carolina. Do not buy that for a second. Jags win.
Vikings at Giants
Dan Schalk: New York Giants. Danny Dimes is already better than Kirk Cousins–who for some reason, has become inept at throwing the football.
Brandon Reid: Minnesota Vikings. I love that the Giants are 2-0 since starting Daniel Jones. It’s a great story. And the Vikings have their own problems, especially on offense. But ultimately I think these two 2-2 teams fall into place on Sunday and the better team wins.
Falcons at Texans
Dan Schalk: Houston Texans. I did not think the Falcons were going to be this bad–but they are struggling to protect Matt Ryan and open up running lanes, and their defense is mediocre at best.
Brandon Reid: Houston Texans. Playing a soft defense always gets you back on the right track. It may be time to think about revamping the Falcons as we know them. They have fallen to 23 in the ESPN Power Rankings.
Buccaneers at Saints
Dan Schalk: Tampa Bay Bucs. I’m hopping back on the Jameis Winston train–it’s derailed many times but I’m keeping the faith.
Brandon Reid: Tampa Bay Bucs. I’m going to give the Bucs one more week of magic. They are not playing bad and Jameis has shook off that rough start. The Saints are just not the same without Brees. Great defensive performance against the Cowboys, but I still think they are vulnerable. If the Bucs can do it to the Rams, they can do it to the Brees-less Saints.
Bills at Titans
Dan Schalk: Tennessee Titans. The Bills are not a very good 3-1 football team. Outside of Bills Mafia that actually believes this team is due for a lengthy playoff run, the educated football fan knows they have a lot of holes to fill on their roster–specifically on offense. The Titans defense will expose those holes this weekend.
Brandon Reid: Tennessee Titans. I have lost every Titans pick so far this year. Pretty frustrating supporting a team that wins when they shouldn’t, and loses when they shouldn’t. And it’s not just my opinion of when they should win or lose, I’m backed up by Vegas odds. It all averages out to 9-7 and missing the playoffs. Maybe I should pick the Bills for my Titans sake. The Bills only have seven sacks on the year, but also have five picks, and are holding teams to under 200 yards passing, while holding QB’s to an average 64 passer rating. That’s the 2nd best passing defense in the league. My confidence in Buffalo is not real high coming into this game. Number one, having to face the Titans defense. Number two, possibly doing it without Josh Allen and having to roll with Matt Barkley. Another game that the Titans have no business losing. The Titans are at home and favored by 3. Interesting that the over/under is 39. I would expect way under that. If I know the Titans, they’ll win 13-6.
Cardinals at Bengals
Dan Schalk: Cincinnati Bengals. I knew the Bengals were going to have a long, rough season–but I figured they would have a win by now–oh well, they will this week.
Brandon Reid: Cincinnati Bengals. I think the Bengals were embarrassed by losing to the Steelers the way they did, and about being 0-4 right now. The perfect remedy…play the Arizona Cardinals.
Patriots at Redskins
Dan Schalk: New England Patriots. I do not pick against Tom Brady or Bill Belichick.
Brandon Reid: New England Patriots. The Patriots defense is playing too well right now to give the Redskins any hope.
Ravens at Steelers
Dan Schalk: Baltimore Ravens. Despite their Monday night win, I believe the Steelers will be drafting in the Top 5 in next year’s draft.
Brandon Reid: Baltimore Ravens. So the Ravens started out hot, but fortunately they played the two worst teams in the NFL to start the season. You still can’t convince me they aren’t better than the Steelers right now. All the pieces are in place, they just need consistency.
Bears at Raiders
Dan Schalk: Chicago Bears. Oh man, this Chicago defense is going to obliterate the Raiders offense. Plus, Chase Daniel is on the same playing field as Mitchell Trubisky, so they are not losing much without him in the lineup.
Brandon Reid: Oakland Raiders. I don’t believe in the Bears offense. With or without Trubisky. It’s struggling. They have the 4th worst offense in the league scoring 16.5 ppg. Their defense is stout, but you have to score points, especially on the road. The line is 5 for the Bears. I’m not buying it.
Broncos at Chargers
Dan Schalk: Los Angeles Chargers. Everything Brandon said, I believe as well.
Brandon Reid: Los Angeles Chargers. I’m still not sure who the Chargers are this year. But Melvin Gordon is back!!!
Packers at Cowboys
Dan Schalk: Dallas Cowboys. Dak looked like the Dak I know him to be last Sunday night. At home, he’s a different signal caller and I believe Zeke will be more effective than his dreadful 1.9 YPC against the Saints. Cowboys win by two touchdowns.
Brandon Reid: Green Bay Packers. The Packers have been looking great as a defensive unit, except for last week versus the Eagles. After seeing the way the Saints frustrated the Cowboys last week, I think the Packers can too. Plus, they have Aaron Rodgers.
Colts at Chiefs
Dan Schalk: Kansas City Chiefs. Mahomes will not be failing to throw a touchdown pass in this game–believe that.
Brandon Reid: Kansas City Chiefs. See previous weeks.
Browns at 49ers
Dan Schalk: San Francisco 49ers. I’m not a fan of either team really being a serious playoff contender. The 49ers may be undefeated, but you can make the argument they could be winless. At home, on Monday night–San Fran pulls out an ugly win.
Brandon Reid: San Francisco 49ers. I like the way the Niners are rolling. This is what was supposed to happen last year before the Garoppolo injury. I think they are a better team than the Browns right now. Cleveland also comes into this game with several key questionable tags.
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