CBB: Merrimack vs Brown Prediction
College basketball season is here–and as we have done for the last few years, MFST will be previewing and predicting the winners of all of the games each day. We pride ourselves on our love for the mid-majors, so you can count on us for all of your game previews and analysis. This year, we will be keeping track on our picks against the spread–the last two years we have had better than a 50% pick-rate ATS. Let’s make the 2019-20 season the most profitable yet…
Merrimack vs Brown
In an underrated non-conference battle between two mid-majors the Merrimack Warriors (5-4) head to Rhode Island to take on the Brown Bears (4-3).
The Warriors’ early season success as the newest Division I program has brought plenty of notoriety: Merrimack took down Northwestern to post just the second win ever for a Northeast Conference (NEC) institution against a Big Ten adversary. The Warriors have also picked up road victories over UMass Lowell and Hartford. As of Monday, Merrimack joined Furman, William & Mary, Vermont, Depaul and Campbell as the nation’s leaders in road wins (3). There are also only two other programs (Florida A&M and Alabama State) that host their first home game againts a Division I opponent than Merrimack; the Warriors play their first home game against a D1 on Dec. 11 against Army.
Merrimack’s defense is among the best in the NEC in the early parts of the season. The Warriors are currently allowing a league-best 59.2 points per game – over seven points fewer than any other team in the conference. The Warriors’ .420 field-goal percentage defense ranks fourth in the conference while Merrimack’s 3-point field-goal defense (.283) sits atop the league rankings, as well.
Brown started the season with a three-game winning streak, topping Bryant University, Canisius College and Quinnipiac University. Since then the Bears have dropped three of four, falling to Sacred Heart, UMass Lowell and the Naval Academy. Brown is led by senior guard Brandon Anderson, who has four 20-point games over six appearances for an average of 23.3 per contest–good for No.1 in the Ivy League and 10th in the nation. He barely leaves the floor too, averaging nearly 39 minutes per game. Brown has struggled in the turnover department, ranking 314th out of 353 programs with nearly 17 turnovers per game.
LINE: Brown -6
Score Prediction: Brown 66 Merrimack 62
Dan’s Bet: Merrimack +6
Dan’s 2019-20 Record: 7-5