Don’t waste your time drafting Adrian Peterson
Adrian Peterson is now a Washington Redskin.
Of course, with this signing we are seeing it impact fantasy football drafts in many ways. Here’s the thing…it shouldn’t.
‘All Day’ is done. We saw it last season outside of two anomalies and yet here we are with fantasy owners drafting Peterson in the middle rounds of drafts. Stop doing that.
Many forget, Peterson only managed three games in 2016 due to another injury (he’s dealt with them throughout his career)–and came back last season in a different uniform being severely overdrafted in every league. I wrote an article saying Peterson was undraftable last season—I stand by that assessment and it applies this season as well.
In 2016, when Peterson was healthy he averaged 1.9 YPC and had zero touchdowns.
In 2017, he averaged 3.4 YPC between the Saints and Cardinals–but outside of two games with Arizona Peterson was well below average. Those two games continue to be brought up–they shouldn’t. Peterson gained 134 yards and two touchdowns against a Buccaneers run defense that finished near the bottom in 2017. Those were also his only touchdowns on the season.
His only other productive game (159 yards, zero touchdowns) came against San Francisco who was barely ahead of Tampa Bay in rush defense.
Outside of those two games, he averaged below 2.0 yards per carry.
It’s not really a great scheme fit in Washington, either. Peterson famously doesn’t have much history or success when running out of the shotgun, something Washington did about 30 percent of the time last season. Even if he does make the roster, Peterson is fighting for just early downs work.
The third down back is Chris Thompson, there is no denying that.
Sure, Samaje Perine and Rob Kelley aren’t very good, but they have fresh tread on their tires unlike and often-injured 33-year-old running back.
If thirty if the kiss of deaths for running backs–what is 33? Undraftable.
The only fantasy relevant back is Thompson–specifically in PPR formats. Before he went down last season, Thompson was surprisingly productive in-between the tackles, averaging 4.6 YPC (5.2 YPC for his career) and of course, is a dynamo in the receiving game.
Thompson was second in the league last season in Fantasy Points Per Touch, averaging over one point every time he touched the ball. Want to know where Peterson is on that list? The bottom.
If you are convinced Peterson is still viable do not take him until the very bottom of your draft–in this year’s deep running back group, it’s not worth it to waste a pick on a 33-year-old back who is in a crowded backfield, in an offensive system that does not suit his style of play.