Drafter Beware: Avoid these overdrafted stars
Fantasy drafts and mocks are on overload right now. I know that not every move we make is not going to be the smartest move come draft day, however with some of the ADP’s of players being drafted, I’m here to help you put the brakes on when it comes to reaching for certain players who are being snagged pretty early (some may call this being overdrafted).
There’s no questioning the talent of Penny, but he’s currently being drafted as an RB2. That may pan out throughout the season, but I just can’t see it happening right away. Penny isn’t even listed as the starter and currently out at least 3-4 week due to surgery on his hand. Currently Chris Carson is the starter, and C.J. Prosise looks pretty healthy right now in Training Camp. I don’t think you want to be stuck drafting a running back in a cloudy backfield pretty early.
Sure, Graham will have some nice highlights in 2018, but he’s being taken as a top 4 TE. Tight end to begin with is a pretty tricky position outside of Gronk, Ertz, and Kelce, but reaching for a guy who being taken solely based off on name value, could turn around and bite you later in the season. There has only been one Green Bay tight end since 2007 to break into the Top 10 (Richard Rodgers was No.8 in 2015). Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense do not utilize the position enough to justify his ADP.
Here’s a tip, if you’re going WR back-to-back in the first two rounds, and you end up with Shady McCoy as your RB1, well you’re off to a bad start already. McCoy will still be a useful asset to your team, but not as your main running back to start building your team around–and when you throw in the off field issues, you’re just adding on unwanted extra baggage.
I love me some Watson, but drafting a guy in the same tier as Rodgers or Brady is insane! Watson was fantastic last season, but we only saw the young quarterback in a small window, and coming off an ACL injury as a rookie is just too much of a red flag to take him as your QB1. I’m not against drafting Watson, but let someone else take him in round 4-7 since that’s where he’s going. I just strongly believe that there will be some regression, and unless I can grab him in the later rounds, I’m not reaching for Watson.
A few months ago when McKinnon went over to San Francisco I loved this move! And I still do, but I don’t know if I’m willing to take him as a Top 15 back like where he’s currently going. He had some great games in Minnesota, but keep an eye out for Matt Breida this season.