Green Bay vs Creighton Prediction ATS
Green Bay vs Creighton Preview
Creighton (6-3) returns to Omaha to host Green Bay (6-4) on Friday, Dec. 14 in the first meeting between the schools.
Since the new Big East was established in summer 2013, Green Bay has never faced any of the 10 teams in the four years since, until Friday’s meeting with Creighton. The last time GB faced a Big East opponent was in 2012, when it defeated Marquette 49-47 in Green Bay.
Creighton is 6-3 overall, including wins over No. 16 Clemson, defending conference champions Montana and Georgia State, while playing a challenging schedule that has already featured eight teams that won 22 or more games a year ago. The Bluejays are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, having dropped games to No. 1 Gonzaga and at No. 24 Nebraska the past two Saturday’s.
Each of Creighton’s top three scorers are sophomores, a trio led by Cayman Islands Classic MVP Ty-Shon Alexander (18.3 PPG.). Alexander poured in a career-high 36 points in the win over Clemson in the Cayman Islands Classic title game and scored 27 more vs. No. 1 Gonzaga on Dec. 1.
Mitch Ballock pours in 12.1 points per game and has dished a team-high 30 assists. Ballock drained 7-of-10 three-point shots and tied his career-high with 23 points at Nebraska last Saturday.
New Mexico transfer Damien Jefferson is averaging 11.9 points and a team-best 5.6 rebounds per contest. He leads the Big East with 61.1 percent shooting from three-point range.
The Bluejays lead the Big East in scoring at 83.6 ppg.
The Phoenix begin a stretch similar to Creighton’s difficult run as they face the Bluejays tonight, and No.9 Michigan State on Sunday. The team cruised to a 66-point win over UW-Stout on Tuesday night, winning its fourth game in six tries.
Green Bay is led by a trio of high-flying and athletic scorers so far this season, with each averaging over 13 points per game. Sandy Cohen III leads the way with 14.6 PPG, thanks to another 16-point performance in his most recent outing.
ShanQuan Hemphill has also been very impressive in his first season at GB, averaging 13.8 PPG. JayQuan McCloud also in his first GB season, is averaging 13.7 PPG, despite missing his last game due to injury.
The three have each been on a tear of late, and now account for nearly half (49.7 percent) the team’s offensive production. All three have scored in double-figures in five out of the last six games they have played.
Ranking 13th in the NCAA in scoring with 87.2 PPG, GB has now scored 100 or more points three times this season. The Phoenix leads all Horizon League teams in that category, and has scored 80 or more points in 7 of its 10 games this season.
Green Bay’s pressure defense continues to force teams into bad passes and turnovers, having now forced double-figure turnovers in every game this season. GB ranks 15th in the NCAA in turnovers forced, averaging 18.0 forced per game. The team is even better when measuring turnover margin, ranking 9th in the NCAA with a 5.8-1 turnover margin. The turnovers have amounted a ton of steals for the Phoenix, which ranks 14th in the NCAA with 93 steals this season.
LINE: -18 Creighton
I was a little surprised by the line of this game after digging in for this preview. No doubt, Creighton will have the Omaha crowd behind them and it is a difficult place to play, but Green Bay has shown to handle itself as the underdog in matchups like this.
The Phoenix have played at Iowa (lost by 11), at Oregon (lost by 11), home against Belmont (won by eight). A solid track record against solid teams.
Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in their last ten games and are 5-1 as the underdog.
Creighton on the other hand is 4-5 ATS in their last ten games and are 1-4 as the home favorite.
Give me Creighton to win outright, but it will be closer than 18 points.
Creighton 93 Green Bay 81