NC State vs Seton Hall Preview and Prediction
NC State vs Seton Hall Preview
The No.8 vs No.9 matchup is one of the most difficult to pick when filling out your brackets, and this year’s matchups are no different.
Get to know NC State
Not much was expected from the Wolfpack this season, new coach Kevin Keatts took the helm last spring after leading UNC Wilmington to three straight Colonial Athletic Association titles. Led by an up-tempo and balanced offense that scores 81 points per game, the Wolfpack have recorded some eye-opening wins: over Arizona in the Bahamas, at home against Duke and on the road at North Carolina.
NC State has something most teams do not: a true seven-footer in Omer Yurtseven, who averages 13.8 PPG and 6.9 RPG. The native of Turkey, who came to the U.S. at age 7, is an athletic guy who can run the floor and shoot threes — he’s hitting a remarkable 51 percent from downtown on a fairly limited sample (22 of 43). His versatility means this could be an assignment for Hall power forward Ish Sanogo, whose sprained ankle is fully healed.
Senior guard Allerick Freeman is the leader of this Wolfpack team, leading them with 15.4 points per game. He also helps on the board with 4.1 rebounds a night and dishes out an average of 2.6 assists each game.
Despite having a seven-footer on the team, NC State is not a very good rebounding ball club with just a plus-0.6 margin. Their pressure defense is yielding a generous 46 percent shooting by opponents and they ended with losses in two of their last three games — an upset at Georgia Tech and a defeat by Boston College in the ACC Tournament. On the surface, this squad’s style and lack of NCAA Tournament experience seem to play into Seton Hall’s hands — if the Pirates can handle their ball pressure.
Get to know Seton Hall
Seton Hall is a deep and experienced ball club. They sport four double-digit scorers, three of which are seniors (Rodriguez, Carrington and Delgado).
Desi Rodriguez: 17.8 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 2.1 APG
Myles Powell: 15.4 PPG, 2.5 RPG, 2.9 APG
Khadeen Carrington: 14.9 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 4.9 APG
Angel Delgado: 13.3 PPG, 11.6 RPG, 2.7 APG
At 6’10, Delgado will be able to handle Yurtseven’s height and in fact, is a more dominating presence down low than the seven-footer.
How they matchup
On paper, Seton Hall is the stronger defensive team in this matchup. Their adjusted defensive efficiency is 99, compared to NC State’s 101.3.
When you look at the defensive Four Factors that most often lead to wins, Seton Hall holds the advantage in three of the four…
- Seton Hall holds their opponents to a lower shooting percentage (Defensive Effective Field Goal Percentage: SH 49.9% to NCST’s 51.5%).
- NC State does a much better job creating turnovers (Defensive Turnover%: NCST 20.6% to SH 17.9%).
- Seton Hall does a better job at boxing out, preventing their opponents from grabbing offensive rebounds (Defensive Offensive Rebound%: SH 28.5% to NCST 31.9%)
- Seton Hall does a better job keeping their opponents off of the free throw line (Defensive Free Throw Rate: SH 28.9 to NCST 32.6)
LINE: -2 Seton Hall
Seton Hall is more experienced and can lock in on the defensive end when they need to. The Wolfpack are the opposite, they can score with the best of them, but they are young and struggle to stop opponents.
Seton Hall 81 NC State 70