NFL Week 4 odds, picks and predictions
The glorious arrival of Week four in the NFL is upon us and as we look around, we start to see teams establishing their identity as we move into the second quarter of the season.
Last week I went 11-5, which is an improvement over my horrible week two, and I also went 2-2 against the spread. Decent but lets look to take it further.
Week four has some intriguing match ups, with a few I like so let’s get to them.
Oakland (-3) @ Chicago
You win one game on the road after not winning one away from home for eleven straight games and you look up and, wow, you’re a favorite. Seems easy enough, right?
Well the Oakland Raiders have shocked a few people so far and we could look up and see them sitting at 3-1 early in this season. They are playing a depleted Bears team who sits at 0-3 and has a chance to go 0-4 for the first time since 2000. It also must be stated that the Bears have seemingly decided to begin their rebuild. Most notably they traded away DE Jared Allen to Carolina this week, and they also moved a few other players, in order to get draft picks and prepare for the future.
Bears QB Jay Cutler and WR Alshon Jeffery will sit out this game and I think even if they had them, it would be close. So I’m taking the Raiders in this one. I think they will be able to score. The Bears are giving up a league-high 35 points per game. Also, the Raiders rookie WR Amari Cooper is showing that he will be a force to deal with in this league. He leads all rookies in receptions (20) and is developing a dynamic chemistry with Carr. This could be the next big duo in football.
Oakland 24 Chicago 13
Kansas City @ Cincinnati (-4)
Cincinnati is looking for their first 4-0 start since 2005 and playing at home against the Chiefs, I think they can get it done. Cincinnati is 3-0 against the spread this season and they are playing a team who has given up a league high ten TD’s so far to start the season.
The Chiefs have had some trouble on the outside covering opponents wide receivers, giving up 861 yards through the air so far. They do get CB Sean Smith back this week so that will help stop some the bleeding. But they also lost CB Phillip Gaines for the year with an ACL injury so Andy Dalton and crew should be able to have some success through the air.
Dalton, who has been a very solid starter in his first four years, has definitely shown even more improvement so far this season ranking in the top six in passing yards (866), yards per attempt (9.4), touchdown passes (eight) and interception percentage (1.1). I don’t see KC slowing him down too much. Chiefs are winless in their last four trips to Cincy, not having won there since 1984. I’m going with Cincy.
Bengals 28 Chiefs 19
Over/ Under picks
St. Louis @ Arizona (O/U) 42.5 – UNDER
Carolina @ Tampa Bay (O/U) 40 – UNDER
Philadelphia @ Washington (O/U) 44– OVER
Houston @ Atlanta (O/U) 46.5 – UNDER
Record overall SU: 26-22
Record ATS: 5-5
*All point spreads provided by VegasInsider.com and are accurate as of Oct. 2nd 2015. Point spreads may change between the time of this publication and when the game is actually played. Please gamble responsibly. If you need help, please call the National Problem Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Tayrance Allen covers the NFL for MFST, you can follow him on Twitter @Twigganomics
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