With Week 5 (10-4 SU, 2-0 ATS) in our rearview, we look towards Sunday’s slate of games and try to carry momentum over from last weekend. The schedule is packed with intriguing divisional games as well as some key AFC vs. NFC match ups.

You can check out Dan’s weekly column for Picks also, as he has a great bead on the straight up action.

For point spread enthusiasts, here are a few games I like:

Carolina @ Seattle (-7)

The Carolina Panthers come into this game sitting at 4-0 with a chance to win a franchise record nine straight regular season games.

But they face a Seahawks team that quarterback Cam Newton is 0-4 lifetime against and the same team who eliminated the Panthers in the last postseason. The Panthers  are 0-4 in their last four games straight up and against the spread after a bye week, although they do get linebacker Luke Kuechly back from injury.

With light rain and some humid conditions in Seattle expected for Sunday, I see this as almost a throwback game for the Seahawks to ‘remember who they are’. Marshawn Lynch is expected to play after having sat out the last two games and even though he’s only averaged 62 yards per game in his last six contests against the Panthers, I see him and Seattle getting back on track and playing their brand of football.

Seahawks  26   Panthers  14

 

New England (-9)  @ Indianapolis

The status of  Colts quarterback Andrew Luck is still unknown at this time but quite frankly, I don’t even think it matters.

The Patriots are on a mission and playing some good football right now. They are also 17-2-1 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. the Colts.

The Patriots have also rushed for 15 TD’s in the last four games against the Colts so I expect a heavy dose of LaGarrette Blount (and Dion Lewis if he is healthy enough to go) in this game.

Both teams will play motivated, for obvious reasons but Coach Belichick just seems to have an edge in this particular area and I do believe the Patriots will run Indy into the ground.

Patriots  31    Colts  17

 

If I had to guess…

Washington (+6.5)  23   New York Jets  21

Arizona (-3.5)  24   Pittsburgh  17  

Kansas City  16   Minnesota (-3.5)  28

Cincinnati (-3)  24   Buffalo  16

Chicago (+3)  19   Detroit  20

Denver (-4)  21   Cleveland  17

Houston (+1)  21   Jacksonville  19

Miami (+1)  20   Tennessee  17

San Diego (+10.5)  24   Green Bay  33

Baltimore  20   San Francisco (+2)  27

New York Giants (+5.5)  26   Philadelphia  23

 

If I had to Guess Record – Week 5:  5-6  ATS   —   Over/Under: 6-5

Record overall SU: 47-31

Record ATS: 8-6

*All point spreads provided by VegasInsider.com and are accurate as of Oct. 17th, 2015. Point spreads may change between the time of this publication and when the game is actually played. Please gamble responsibly. If you need help, please call the National Problem Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Tayrance Allen covers the NFL for MFST, you can follow him on Twitter @Twigganomics

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