Football is undoubtedly back in the minds of fantasy players everywhere. Before you know it, you’ll be kicking off your draft with friends, family, co-workers, or some random degenerates (I mean that in the most positive way possible), and all will be well, that is until you draft the wrong player and he derails your season.

Now, nobody goes into a draft planning to end up with busts on their rosters, but there’s no such thing as a sure thing when it comes to football. Some players get hurt (we see you Keenan Allen) while other players underperform (hello Todd Gurley). Hopefully, as you gear up for your draft, the advice below from our MFST writers will help you avoid any missteps. They’ve named the top bust candidate in their mind for the upcoming NFL season.

Fantasy Football Busts in 2017

Fantasy Football Busts in 2017

Dan Schalk: Russell Wilson. Despite having his worst season as a pro in 2016, he is still the 4th QB selected in fantasy drafts with an ADP of 50th overall. For any QB that’s too early for me, especially one that is playing behind the worst offensive line in football.

Brandon Reid: DeMarco Murray. He is getting older and Tennessee is getting younger. Not only are guys like Corey Davis and Taywan Taylor going to be demanding touches, Derrick Henry is chomping at the bit to get more touches. Even if it means playing tight end. Last year was great, but an anomaly. Murray is being drafted around 12th overall and is simply not a Top 20 player this year.

Malachi David: Kirk Cousins. With the loss of his top 2 receivers, Cousins has lost his wide-out threats. He will be in the bottom half of the league after being a big scorer for two straight seasons.

Colby Gatz: Jordan Howard. Howard is currently projected to be drafted in the first couple rounds, but with Cutler gone, as well as Alshon Jeffery, the Bears will need to rely more on the running game in 2017. Given the subtraction on offense, I wouldn’t be surprised if defenses key in on stopping Howard which could lead to a lackluster season. As we saw with Todd Gurley last season, having a talented running back but a mediocre passing game could lead to disappointing results.

Jeremy O’Neill: Jordan Howard. Losing Alshon Jeffrey and having a rookie quarterback this year; The Bears passing game is going to be rough. A combination of a healthy Jeremy Langford  and rookie Tarik Cohen will take away some of the 3rd down plays because they are the better receivers.

Patrick Rahall: Leonard Fournette thinks that the NFL is “easy” because the game is “a lot slower” than he imagined it would be. This is after one preseason game that saw him carry the ball nine times for 31 yards, including a 1-yard touchdown. Fournette, the #4 overall pick in this year’s draft will soon realize that playing for Jacksonville might be much harder than it seems at the moment. Jacksonville tends to play from behind quite a bit, and the need to throw the ball relentlessly will take away his touches. Going up against the Patriots reserves will not be the same as being chased down by the ferocious Texans defense, led by perennial Defensive Player of the Year candidate J.J. Watt that he’ll see to open his first NFL season. I’m not sold on Fournette, and I’m certainly not sold on Jacksonville’s QB play or offensive line. That’s why I’m calling him a fantasy bust.

Andrew Luck

Casey Birch: Andrew Luck. I love Andrew Luck as a player, don’t get me wrong. But I think he has bust written all over him. Let’s be honest, over the past few years he’s typically been drafted in the 1-4 range for quarterbacks. That usually requires a pick before the 5th round. And compared with the quarterbacks that have been drafted behind him, Luck hasn’t offered a huge difference in points. This year he’s coming off a major shoulder surgery, is primed to miss the entire preseason, and may not even be ready for week 1 of the regular season. The injury issues aren’t a new thing either; not necessarily because he’s fragile, but because his offensive line could likely be featured in a sequel to “The Replacements.” Indy has done very little to bolster that offensive line, and I have a feeling that Luck is gonna be on his back a lot this season. The talent is obviously there, but with so many less-risky fantasy QB options out there for a lower pick, why would you risk your fantasy season on Luck

 

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