Week 4 NFL Picks
A 7-7 Week Three has my overall record standing at 26-19, as we head into our first set of bye weeks in the NFL season. Week Four delivers many intriguing matchups, including our first 9:30AM EST time game of the year. Being from the East Coast I am excited for a jam-packed day of football. So without further ado, my Week 4 picks…..
Jets 20 at Dolphins 28
The Dolphins looked like a bad football team last week against the Bills, hopefully travelling overseas will help ease the pain of last week’s defeat. A 9:30AM matchup in London is just what football fans need, and I expect the Dolphins to take advantage with the better quarterback in this matchup. While the Jets defense is superb, I envision Ryan Tannehill bouncing back and having his best game in the young season.
Giants 19 at Bills 17
I like the G-Men to pull out a close road victory against the ever-improving Bills. The Bills possess the better defense, but no one in their secondary can hang with Odell Beckham on the football field and I believe he will be the difference. Tyrod Taylor has taken the NFL and many fantasy football teams by storm, but the blueprint to stop the Bills offense is growing and I expect to see him falter this week.
Panthers 20 at Buccaneers 31
Call me crazy, but the Panthers are the worst undefeated team I have seen in quite some time, and I expect to see a letdown from them in Week 4. If the Bucs offensive line can keep Jameis Winston upright, he has the skills and weapons to find the holes in the Panthers secondary.
Raiders 33 at Bears 30
The Bears appear to be in tanking-mode after trading away Jared Allen and Jon Bostic for a couple of late-round draft picks, while the Raiders seem to actually be a decent football team (something I have not said in a while). With Derek Carr and Amari Cooper establishing solid chemistry, I like the Raiders defense to be the difference maker in this game.
Texans 17 at Falcons 29
In my mind, this is a trap-game for the undefeated Falcons as they host Ryan Mallett and the 1-2 Texans, who boast nothing more than a mediocre team. If Atlanta wants to be considered as a favorite in the NFC, this is the type of game they must win, and I expect they will under first year coach Dan Quinn, who I predicted would win Coach of the Year in 2015.
Chiefs 20 at Bengals 17
Everyone seems to be on the Bengals bandwagon after their 3-0 start, and justifiably so, but this is the type of game the “old” Bengals would lose. If Andy Dalton is truly a different quarterback, as such has been reported, then the Bengals should win this game at home, beating the Chiefs who looked questionable on Monday night against the Packers. I think the Chiefs will bounce-back and pull out a solid road win.
Eagles 28 at Redskins 9
The Eagles came away with a solid win last week at the Jets, and I see them beginning to hit their stride after a rough start. Heading to Washington does not pose much of a challenge in my mind, making a lot of Eagles players valuable in fantasy this week. Philadelphia’s defense will also show up, shutting down Kirk Cousins and the Redskins offense en route to their second consecutive win.
Jaguars 13 Colts 27
Similar to the Eagles, the Colts had their own impressive win, coming from behind to beat the Titans on the road. I see that continuing, even with an “injured” Andrew Luck. I expect the Colts to lead much of the game to begin their own small winning streak.
Browns 14 Chargers 28
As the Browns head West to San Diego their quarterback drama continues to dominate the headlines. Whether it’s McCown or Manziel, the Browns offense will struggle against a somewhat underrated Chargers defensive unit. Look for Melvin Gordon to reach the century mark for the first time this season, and in his career, against a Browns defense that struggles mightily against the run.
Vikings 13 at Broncos 24
The Broncos enter this contest undefeated despite many pundits criticizing Peyton Manning and his lack of arm strength. Well, the old-man still has it and with a defense like the one Denver possesses they will be a tough out every game. I expect defensive coordinator Wade Phillips to draw up a gameplan to confuse Teddy Bridgewater en route to their fourth consecutive win.
Packers 31 at 49ers 17
Aaron Rodgers put on a show last week despite missing key offensive weapons. His preparation, combined with his innate skill level makes A-Rodg one of the games best. For the 49ers, the questions will be, which defensive unit will we see? The one that shut down AP and the Vikings Week One? Or the one that allowed 40+ points to the Cardinals (2 pick-six TD’s from Colin Kaepernick didn’t help). I don’t see anyone on the 49ers able to stop Rodgers at his best.
Rams 17 at Cardinals 14
My pick of the Rams winning the division looked good after Week One, but since then has been a complete downfall. While the Rams seem to struggle against every other team besides those in their own division, I like the upset to happen this week. The Cardinals seem to have it all going for them, from a staunch defense, to a very competent offense, to one of the best coaches in the game. With that said, I like the Rams to pull it out for no other reason than a “feeling” I have.
Cowboys 24 at Saints 21
The Saints are expecting Drew Brees back from his one game absence, and of course the Cowboys are not expecting Romo back for anytime soon. With the offense clearly in Who Dat’s corner, I think the game will be decided by which defense can create more turnovers and stop the running game. Rod Marinelli has the edge over Rob Ryan in this duel and I believe that will be the deciding factor late in this contest.
Lions 13 at Seahawks 20
The Lions look a mess right now and playing the Seahawks defense with Kam Chancellor back is a tall task. I like this game to be similar to the last Lions game, where they could only muster field goals against a very good Broncos defense. The Seahawks will make enough plays on offense to seal the victory.
Dan Schalk is the Head Writer for MFST, you can follow him on Twitter @FFSportsTalk