Week 5 Daily Fantasy Football Value Picks
Daily fantasy football on websites like Draft Kings and Fanduel is rapidly becoming one of the most popular ways to play fantasy football. As their ads suggest, these websites allow you to shed the players who tank your team on a weekly basis in season-long fantasy, affording you the ability to choose new players every week. However, as daily fantasy players know, you can’t just stack your team with the best players out there. Thus, I figured I’d offer my suggestions on some of the best value picks each week in daily fantasy football, allowing you to form the best lineup possible to make some money.
Before we get into the players, I think a quick explanation of “value” would help. For those who don’t know, sites like Draft Kings hold you to a salary cap, allowing you to spend an average of only $5555 on each position (Draft Kings has you start a QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, a FLEX, a TE, and a DST). Because of this, if you want to start a guy like Antonio Brown, a guy who almost always costs more than $8000, you have to find guys who cost a lot less in order to win. This is where the value aspect comes into play. The players I recommend are not a complete lineup. If you want to spend on Julio Jones, you might want to look at the value choice at QB. If Gronk is a guy you want, look to spend less at RB. Choosing value in certain places while starting studs at others is the key to winning.
With that, let’s get started on the picks. All values listed are based on Draft Kings prices.
QB: Philip Rivers – $6200
Rivers definitely isn’t one of the cheapest quarterbacks on Draft Kings this week, but he is extremely valuable based on his potential output. The Chargers quarterback has a lot of things in his favor going into Monday night. First, the Chargers are playing at home, where Rivers has posted his two best fantasy weeks of the year to the tune of 24.9 points in week 1 and 29.2 points in week 4. There is no reason to think that Rivers can’t repeat that this week against a Steelers defense that has had its troubles stopping opposing quarterbacks this season. Rivers could easily finish in the top five of quarterbacks this week and is currently ranked at ten.
Honorable Mentions: Jay Cutler ($5300), Joe Flacco ($5600)
RB: Boobie Dixon – $3000
I dug around the bottom of the barrel for this one, and it is entirely reliant on the status of Karlos Williams going into the game. If Karlos plays then I advise that you avoid this pick altogether. However, if he doesn’t play, then Dixon becomes a guy who has immense value at $3000. He would immediately become the starter for an offense that likes to run the ball and is a guy who has had a level of fantasy relevance in the past. The savings you get by starting Dixon allows you to spend on someone like Le’Veon Bell who is going to explode this week.
Honorable Mentions: Todd Gurley ($4300), Shane Vereen ($4200)
WR: Tavon Austin – $4300
Last week, against a very good Arizona defense, Austin posted a stellar 29.6 fantasy points in Draft Kings scoring (PPR). He did so with 96 yards, 2 touchdowns and 6 receptions. Will Austin post another line like this against the Packers? Probably not, but based on potential game flow, which is a huge component in determining player value, it’s very possible that he gets close. The Packers are always likely to put up tons of points, so the Rams will probably be playing catchup for most of the game. This presents a great opportunity for Austin to impress, and probably help you win some money.
Honorable Mentions: Stevie Johnson ($4000), Eddie Royal ($3700)
TE: Owen Daniels – $2700 STEAL OF THE WEEK
This is an absolute steal and is something that I highly recommend for ALL lineups. Daniels has slowly become a red zone favorite of Peyton Manning and has scored in each of the past two weeks. However, the most enticing aspect about starting Daniels is the fact that he is playing the Raiders, who rank dead last in the league against opposing tight ends. Here are some numbers if you aren’t convinced: 34.4, 25.8, 25.5, and 25.3. These are the points given up to opposing tight ends by the Raiders through the first four weeks. If starting Daniels blows up in your face you’re only losing $2700. However, if it works, this pick could win you tons of cash.
Honorable Mentions: Zach Ertz ($2900), Antonio Gates ($4200)
DST: Giants – $2900
Not much thinking involved with this one. The Giants are playing the 49ers at home and are on a bit of a roll right now. The NFC East is the Giants for the taking at this point, and they have the perfect opportunity against a struggling 49ers team to have a statement game. The stats on Colin Kaepernick’s troubles are all over the internet, but the man has thrown 5 picks to 0 touchdowns in the past two weeks. He’s in for a long one against the G-Men on Sunday, making New York a valuable start in daily fantasy.
Kyle Kirby covers Fantasy Football for MFST, you can follow the site on Twitter @MyFntsySprtsTlk